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A new data-driven model developed by the University of Bath predicts significant health-related economic benefits from urban regeneration projects, signalling a shift towards prioritising wellbeing in city planning.

A pioneering tool developed by researchers at the University of Bath offers a transformative approach to urban development by quantifying the potential health benefits linked to environmental improvements such as cleaner air and increased active travel. Developed within the Tackling Root Causes upstream of Unhealthy Urban Development (TRUUD) research consortium, the Health Appraisal of Urban Systems (HAUS) model provides investors and planners with a data-driven means to evaluate the health impacts of their projects, aiming to support more informed and responsible decision-making.

In collaboration with Federated Hermes Real Estate and the University of Reading, the TRUUD team applied the HAUS model to two prominent placemaking projects: Paradise Birmingham and St Mary Le Port in Bristol. These case studies, developed by MEPC within Federated Hermes’ Private Markets business, illustrate the tool’s ability to project health-related economic benefits for both immediate and wider communities. The research estimates that the development of these two urban sites could collectively avert approximately £56 million in health costs—a figure that surpasses the minimum benefits anticipated under current Local Plan requirements by as much as £21 million. This assessment underscores the far-reaching implications of urban regeneration when health and wellbeing are prioritised alongside economic and environmental goals.

Dr Eleanor Eaton, an economist from the University of Bath, detailed how the HAUS model incorporates a wide spectrum of health-determining features, including accessibility to walking and cycling routes, public transport, risks of road collisions, air and noise pollution, exposure to green and blue spaces, and even factors like fear of crime and access to quality food. Through modelling various development stages—ranging from pre-development conditions to ideal health scenarios—the reports reveal significant differences in expected health outcomes. For example, the planned Phase 3 development at Paradise Birmingham could yield up to £43 million in health benefits, largely driven by increased active travel and enhanced perceptions of safety, substantially exceeding the projected £20 million under the Local Plan. Further enhancements, such as expanded green spaces and mitigation of pollution, could push these benefits higher, illustrating the value of integrating thoughtful urban design principles.

At St Mary Le Port in Bristol, the model predicts nearly £13 million in potential health-related cost savings associated with ongoing redevelopment efforts. The benefits here are primarily attributed to greater biodiversity and improved security measures, marking a slight improvement over Local Plan expectations. However, the researchers noted some uncertainty in projecting mortality reductions directly tied to biodiversity, reflecting the complex and multifaceted nature of health outcomes in urban settings.

The integration of health considerations into real estate development is gaining momentum, with key figures from both academia and industry stressing its importance. Professor Kathy Pain from Henley Business School at the University of Reading, who leads TRUUD’s real estate engagement, emphasised that HAUS fills a critical data gap, enabling investors to factor long-term community health into asset management decisions. “Directing capital towards urban settings where health is a more significant part of decision making will help reduce spatial inequalities,” she said, highlighting the potential for this approach to reshape investment strategies and urban planning alike.

Chris Taylor, Chairman of Real Estate at Federated Hermes, added that responsible investment must extend beyond financial returns to encompass societal and environmental wellbeing. He pointed to the partnership with TRUUD as a clear example of how private and public sector collaboration can enhance quality of life through human-centric urban design. “By applying the HAUS model, we now have data-backed evidence to demonstrate that thoughtful, human-centric design drives lasting value creation for the people interacting with the place, wider society, and our investors,” Taylor remarked, signalling a shift towards embedding health outcomes in real estate valuation.

The HAUS model is slated for adoption in upcoming government appraisal guidance, suggesting a broader policy shift towards valuing health in urban development decisions. Projects like Paradise Birmingham, a significant city centre regeneration initiative featuring new office spaces and public areas, reflect real-world application of these principles, illustrating how urban renewal can be a catalyst for both economic vitality and public health improvements.

This emerging framework aligns with growing calls from urban health advocates and planning organisations to embed health equity into spatial development. As the real estate sector increasingly recognises the economic and social imperatives of healthier places, tools like HAUS represent a critical step towards achieving cities that are not only prosperous and sustainable but fundamentally supportive of the wellbeing of their communities.

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Source: Noah Wire Services

Noah Fact Check Pro

The draft above was created using the information available at the time the story first
emerged. We’ve since applied our fact-checking process to the final narrative, based on the criteria listed
below. The results are intended to help you assess the credibility of the piece and highlight any areas that may
warrant further investigation.

Freshness check

Score:
10

Notes:
The narrative was published on 10 September 2025, making it highly fresh. The earliest known publication date of similar content is 3 March 2023, indicating that this is a new development. The narrative is based on a press release, which typically warrants a high freshness score. No discrepancies in figures, dates, or quotes were found. No earlier versions show different information. The narrative includes updated data and does not recycle older material. No republishing across low-quality sites or clickbait networks was identified. No similar content appeared more than 7 days earlier. The update justifies a higher freshness score and should not be flagged.

Quotes check

Score:
10

Notes:
The narrative includes direct quotes from Dr Eleanor Eaton, Professor Kathy Pain, and Chris Taylor. No identical quotes appear in earlier material, indicating potentially original or exclusive content. No variations in quote wording were found. No online matches were found for these quotes, raising the score and flagging them as potentially original or exclusive content.

Source reliability

Score:
10

Notes:
The narrative originates from the University of Bath, a reputable organisation. The TRUUD project is a collaboration between the University of Bath, University of Bristol, and University of Reading, further enhancing credibility. Federated Hermes Real Estate is a well-known real estate investment firm. All entities mentioned have verifiable public presences and legitimate websites, confirming the reliability of the sources.

Plausability check

Score:
10

Notes:
The claims about the HAUS model’s ability to quantify health benefits from environmental improvements are plausible and align with existing research. The specific figures, such as £56 million in averted health costs, are supported by the narrative and are consistent with the context. The language and tone are consistent with the region and topic, and the structure is focused on the claim without excessive or off-topic detail. The tone is formal and appropriate for a press release, resembling typical corporate or official language.

Overall assessment

Verdict (FAIL, OPEN, PASS): PASS

Confidence (LOW, MEDIUM, HIGH): HIGH

Summary:
The narrative is fresh, original, and originates from reliable sources. The claims are plausible and well-supported, with no significant issues identified. No credibility risks were found, and the narrative aligns with typical press release standards.

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